Steve
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Post by Steve on Jun 12, 2024 18:50:37 GMT
According to the poll above labour halve fallen from 47 to 38% over the last week. Happy if they're wrong. I wonder how many Tory voters would sacrifice principle to get power. A Reform/Tory Right wing party. Yougov has changed its method of calculation.
Not really They changed it a couple of weeks back so doesn't affect the last week change. But Zany was wrong, that 47% figure was back on May 8th
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Post by Zany on Jun 12, 2024 18:57:47 GMT
Yougov has changed its method of calculation.
Not really They changed it a couple of weeks back so doesn't affect the last week change. But Zany was wrong, that 47% figure was back on May 8th
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Steve
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Post by Steve on Jun 12, 2024 19:07:26 GMT
May 8th was the last poll they published before the 16th. Anyway YouGov had Labour at 40% a week ago with their June 3/4 poll. There has been no dramatic fall in the last week to correlate with Farage entering the fray. But a reduction there has been
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Post by dappy on Jun 12, 2024 19:24:47 GMT
I can’t seem to link for some reason but FT has a poll tracker since election showing Labour basically flatlining. I imagine they will be surprised and delighted as I think most expected the gap to close. Obvs still a while to go
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Post by equivocal on Jun 12, 2024 19:26:49 GMT
Not really They changed it a couple of weeks back so doesn't affect the last week change. But Zany was wrong, that 47% figure was back on May 8th According to the link, the change was incorporated in polling for 3rd and 4th June. The link points out that the result using the older method would have produced a Labour lead over the Conservatives of 27 points against the published result of 21 points. That accords with the position at 28th May 47 - 20. So with the further two point drop to 38, the 9 point drop is explained by 2 points actual and 7 from change in methodology over the week from 4 June to 11 June, simply expressed.
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Steve
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Post by Steve on Jun 12, 2024 20:21:30 GMT
"I never had Sky TV as a kid"
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Steve
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Post by Steve on Jun 12, 2024 21:19:43 GMT
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Post by andrewbrown on Jun 12, 2024 23:46:01 GMT
To be fair he looked like he was about to burst into tears through half of it.
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Post by montegriffo on Jun 14, 2024 15:07:49 GMT
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Post by Zany on Jun 14, 2024 16:38:11 GMT
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Steve
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Post by Steve on Jun 14, 2024 17:31:09 GMT
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Steve
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Post by Steve on Jun 17, 2024 23:39:49 GMT
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Post by Zany on Jun 18, 2024 7:05:07 GMT
My favourite NHS…In an effort to reduce the problems faced by the NHS , it is proposed to reduce pregnancy from nine to seven months
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Steve
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Post by Steve on Jun 19, 2024 0:02:01 GMT
You know it makes scents
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Post by equivocal on Jun 19, 2024 18:49:34 GMT
Today's poll for The Telegraph
The polling from Savanta for The Telegraph consulted around 18,000 people between June 7 and June 18, capturing views throughout the last fortnight of the election campaign.
The analysis comes from a method called Multilevel Regression and Post-stratification, or MRP, which allows pollsters to take survey results and predict results in individual seats.
Mr Sunak is predicted to lose his Richmond seat to Labour, although this race is among those Savanta says are still in the balance given the close margins.
Can't see it quite that bad for the Tories myself.
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