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Post by Deleted on Aug 16, 2024 8:13:47 GMT
Harris seems to more or less have this in the bag at the moment, according to the top pollsters who correctly predicted the 2016 election and 2020 one (which are the ones that I personally follow). I'm pretty sure as things stand she's going to win. That means no Trump, but probably more rockets to Israel and an endorsement of their indefinite control of Gaza Israel proposes indefinite control over Gaza in first official post-war planOf course, they won't say that outright, they'll condemn Israel upfront and say they oppose them, all the while backing and supporting everything they do and only doing enough condemnation of Netanyahu to deflect criticism and stifle opposition, but I hope I'm wrong. She does seem like the Biden continuity candidate however
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Steve
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Post by Steve on Aug 16, 2024 8:20:32 GMT
Harris has had a good last couple of weeks but this is way too close to call as she hasn't been tested on policies yet and her lead at 2.4% nationally is very narrow. That next presidential debate could be key. Loads of detail here: www.racetothewh.com/president/polls#google_vignette
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Post by Deleted on Aug 16, 2024 8:24:35 GMT
Trump was dumb enough to bad-mouth our governor of Georgia, who's a Republican he needs the endorsement of to attract more "RINO"-y Republicans. That is going to cost him plenty, but he probably thinks it will attract harder right Georgia voters in the north of the state, where Marjorie Taylor Greene is the congresswoman in one constituency
Well, at least its beautiful and mountainous around there
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Steve
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Post by Steve on Aug 18, 2024 16:32:16 GMT
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Steve
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Post by Steve on Aug 20, 2024 21:27:13 GMT
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Steve
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Post by Steve on Sept 11, 2024 8:42:56 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Sept 12, 2024 3:24:50 GMT
Kamala is now behind Trump in many polls, many seem to suggest Kamala actually lost that debate because the moderator was unfair.
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Steve
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Post by Steve on Sept 12, 2024 8:57:20 GMT
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Post by Steve on Sept 12, 2024 9:31:54 GMT
The only poll I can find that says Harris lost that debate was the one Fox News did of Fox TV viewers. Even Fox admitted that was 'unscientific' which is also a polite way of referring to the main Fox TV viewers.
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Post by dappy on Sept 12, 2024 9:44:52 GMT
I think all we can conclude at the moment is that it’s very close - probably at most a 55-45 chance of winning in favour of one candidate or the other and nobody really sure which candidate has the 55%.
I do find it most strange. Most people - say 90% - have at least a basic level of intelligence and knowledge of the world. So when Trump says that live born babies are being “executed” after birth in a form of post birth abortion, surely 90% must recognise that this claim is deranged. Yet 40% of the 90% still intend to vote for the guy. I don’t get it.
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Post by Deleted on Sept 12, 2024 14:20:32 GMT
Fair reply - I should have separated the two parts of my post, it looks like I said Kamala lost the debate according to polls of the debate, which would be an inaccurate claim indeed. What was intended was to say that Kamala is now behind in many polls of the presidential race itself, but that people I read were insisting that she lost the debate (unscientific opinions basically) - that being said, CNN and NPR's fact checks did not come out very favorably for her. The polls of the debate itself do show she won the debate, however And she is now behind Trump in many polls that I read, an advert they're plugging on Instagram from "Kamala HQ" now says they're behind Trump 1% nationally, it's on a different device so I can't send you the screenshot right now - but a CNN analyst also found the enthusiasm seems to be wearing off - also see the most respected A+ rated pollster from 538 New York Times/Siena College[3] September 3–6, 2024 1,695 (LV) ± 3% 47% 48%
They're liberal leaning and usually lean Democrat, that's bad news for Kamala. But I appreciate you pointing out the flaw in my post - you're not mistaken to point it out
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Post by Deleted on Sept 12, 2024 14:27:48 GMT
I think all we can conclude at the moment is that it’s very close - probably at most a 55-45 chance of winning in favour of one candidate or the other and nobody really sure which candidate has the 55%. I do find it most strange. Most people - say 90% - have at least a basic level of intelligence and knowledge of the world. So when Trump says that live born babies are being “executed” after birth in a form of post birth abortion, surely 90% must recognise that this claim is deranged. Yet 40% of the 90% still intend to vote for the guy. I don’t get it. The deranged claims from Trump would be that the Democrats want to "abolish all the animals" and "build buildings with tiny windows" and tear down the Empire State Building, that claim itself that you pointed to above isn't the most deranged claim he's made en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Partial-Birth_Abortion_Ban_ActAccording to an NPR fact check of 'partial birth abortion' www.npr.org/2006/02/21/5168163/partial-birth-abortion-separating-fact-from-spinThat means while most didn't take place after fetal viability, some did I'm pretty sure the EU has stricter laws regarding abortion than many US states en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abortion_in_Europe
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Post by Zany on Sept 13, 2024 15:50:09 GMT
Agreed. Harris is now ahead in 8 of the 12 swing states.
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Post by Deleted on Sept 14, 2024 20:20:23 GMT
Yep, she is ahead on most polls now, even Nate Silver thinks so
By the way, from what I read of all the FOX News polls, they said she both won the debate and that she's ahead in the national polling, I haven't seen a poll that says she lost the debate from FOX
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Steve
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Post by Steve on Sept 14, 2024 20:25:07 GMT
Yep, she is ahead on most polls now, even Nate Silver thinks so By the way, from what I read of all the FOX News polls, they said she both won the debate and that she's ahead in the national polling, I haven't seen a poll that says she lost the debate from FOX I did and now you can too www.livenowfox.com/news/who-won-the-debate-sept-10-2024-polls
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